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Wednesday, May 31, 2017
Platforms voice support for Code, but shy away from policing clients
Welcome to the Rooster Summer Reading Challenge
by The Tournament of Books Staff
Grab a beach towel, favorite cold beverage, and, most importantly, your books. Our Summer Reading Challenge begins now.
Crude Oil Drags Markets Lower
Blau leaves Barclays to join HSBC
Renminbi’s share of global payments slips behind Swiss franc
Eagle leaves JP Morgan
Downside Risks are Greater Than Upside Rewards - Be Careful
Downside Risks are Greater Than Upside Rewards - Be Careful
Broadway Technology aims to expand FX footprint
Strong Seasonality Stocks for June
These stocks have a long history of performing well in June, rising in the month at least 70% of the time and typically jumping by at least a few percent on average. Stocks mentioned: $ICLR ILMN $ORCL $INFY $SRCL $CIG $CASY
Seasonality is the study of how assets perform at certain times of the year. The stocks below have shown a strong tendency to rise in June, historically. That doesn’t mean they will rally this…
The post Strong Seasonality Stocks for June appeared first on Vantage Point Trading.
Tuesday, May 30, 2017
Gold Faces Multi-Year Resistance Again
Market Needs Strong Economic Data This Week - Watch For Profit Taking
Market Needs Strong Economic Data This Week - Watch For Profit Taking
Day Trading Stock Picks for Week of May 30
Day trading stock picks likely to move big (up or down) during the week of May 30: $FMSA $SN $DYN $HTZ $CLF $OCLR $WLL $AKS $ENDP $MOMO and few that are usually good day trading candidates: $SPY $BAC $WFT
I screen for day trading stocks with a recent history of volatility. That means these stocks are highly likely to move big (up or down–trade the intraday trends) each day for the next week.
A new…
The post Day Trading Stock Picks for Week of May 30 appeared first on Vantage Point Trading.
LGIM's former head of trading joins Ipreo
Monday, May 29, 2017
Forex and Commodity Seasonality For June
Here are the historical tendencies for forex pairs and commodities in the month of June. Watch sugar! Statistics include how often the prices rise or fall, and by how much, on average. $AUDUSD $USDCHF $SB_F $CL_F
Statistics are based on monthly opening and closings prices, and do no reflect overall volatility that occurs during the month. Commodity statistics are based on a continuous futures contract, which may differ from specific contract statistics.
Statistics are run…
The post Forex and Commodity Seasonality For June appeared first on Vantage Point Trading.
Sunday, May 28, 2017
Range-bound market is sticking around – SEB
FX Week May 29 2017 digital download
McKesson's Upcoming Earnings - Cardinal Health Harbinger?
Saturday, May 27, 2017
Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery
Understanding Forex Market Hours and Forex Hourly Tendencies
Learn how forex market hours and sessions affect your trading. Each hour of the day, and each forex pair, has different characteristics based on what global markets are open. Understanding these characteristics means you’ll be better able to find and filter trades, and apply your strategies at the correct time.
Some background knowledge is required to trade forex effectively. While the forex market trades 24-hours, not all hours are viable for all day trading strategies.…
The post Understanding Forex Market Hours and Forex Hourly Tendencies appeared first on Vantage Point Trading.
Friday, May 26, 2017
Markets Little Changed Heading Into Holiday Weekend
New Market High Is Vulnerable - Expect Profit Taking Before June FOMC
New Market High Is Vulnerable - Expect Profit Taking Before June FOMC
The FX Global Code of Conduct webinar
FX Global Code gains support from Barclays
Cudahy crosses over to Curex
Thursday, May 25, 2017
Brazil’s Political Bumps
Just when Brazil’s economy seemed to be turning a corner, a new political scandal has caused a strong market reaction, sending Brazil’s stock market into a tailspin. President Michel Temer, who came into office following the impeachment of former President Dilma Rouseff due to a corruption scandal, is now caught up in a corruption scandal of his own. If Temer is found not guilty, Brazil’s next general election takes place in 2018, so he would remain in office two more years and presumably continue to pursue his agenda. If he is found guilty, he would likely be impeached and removed from office, like Rouseff was. While we have been encouraged by Temer’s more reform-minded government, in our view this latest scandal doesn’t mean that momentum will necessarily end—even if he’s removed from office. If Temer were to be removed from office, we believe there will still be reforms, although they will likely take longer to implement. The bottom line is that the reform movement against corruption is ongoing, and that is overall positive for Brazil. Even if Temer himself may not be able to carry out the reforms he is now supervising, we think the reformists can move forward since they already have a momentum of their own. There is a realization that reform is needed in many areas, but it often takes time. These developments emphasize the importance of taking a long-term view when investing in emerging markets. Change doesn’t happen overnight. We think there are still plenty of opportunities on an individual-stock level in Brazil, and these types of market shocks can unlock values. We are currently seeing value in almost every sector in Brazil, simply because the market is depressed in all directions. Most interesting to us are the banking and retail sectors. In terms of monetary policy in Brazil, in my view, there is still room for Brazil’s central bank to cut interest rates further. Its currency has seen a recovery from its lows hit on May 18 when the Temer scandal broke. More importantly, there has been a steady downturn in inflation. Brazil’s annual inflation rate stood at 3.77% in mid-May, its lowest level in 10 years.1 In my view, an aggressive cut in interest rates would be very good for the economy. I think it’s about time that Brazil had a reasonable interest-rate environment, particularly for small and medium-sized businesses which could then get financing at lower rates. This could give an overall boost to the economy. We will of course be monitoring the situation in Brazil to determine what type of impact this latest setback has on Brazil’s economy and the businesses operating there. In my view, the setback is temporary; we have seen other markets bounce back from political scandals in the past. The ongoing, longer-term recovery of Brazil’s stock market and economy still looks to us to be intact. Mark Mobius’s comments, opinions and analyses are for informational purposes only and should not be considered individual investment advice or recommendations to invest in any security or to adopt any investment strategy. Because market and economic conditions are subject to rapid change, comments, opinions and analyses are rendered as of the date of the posting and may change without notice. The material is not intended as a complete analysis of every material fact regarding any country, region, market, industry, investment or strategy. Important Legal Information All investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal. Investments in foreign securities involve special risks including currency fluctuations, economic instability and political developments. Investments in emerging markets, of which frontier markets are a subset, involve heightened risks related to the same factors, in addition to those associated with these markets’ smaller size, lesser liquidity and lack of established legal, political, business and social frameworks to support securities markets. Because these frameworks are typically even less developed in frontier markets, as well as various factors including the increased potential for extreme price volatility, illiquidity, trade barriers and exchange controls, the risks associated with emerging markets are magnified in frontier markets. Stock prices fluctuate, sometimes rapidly and dramatically, due to factors affecting individual companies, particular industries or sectors, or general market conditions. _____________________________________ 1. Sources: Reuters, IBGE.
Investment Adventures in Emerging Markets - Notes from Mark Mobius
Mark Mobius, Ph.D., executive chairman of Templeton Emerging Markets Group, joined Templeton in 1987. Currently, he directs the Templeton research team based in 15 global emerging markets offices and manages emerging markets portfolios. As he spans the globe in search of investment opportunities, his “Investment Adventures in Emerging Markets” blog gives readers a taste for what he does, when, where, why and how. Dr. Mobius has written several books, including “Trading with China,” “The Investor’s Guide to Emerging Markets,” “Mobius on Emerging Markets,” “Passport to Profits,” “Equities—An Introduction to the Core Concepts,” “Mutual Funds—An Introduction to the Core Concepts,” ”The Little Book of Emerging Markets,” and “Mark Mobius: An Illustrated Biography."
Brazil’s Political Bumps
Just when Brazil’s economy seemed to be turning a corner, a new political scandal has caused a strong market reaction, sending Brazil’s stock market into a tailspin. President Michel Temer, who came into office following the impeachment of former President Dilma Rouseff due to a corruption scandal, is now caught up in a corruption scandal of his own. If Temer is found not guilty, Brazil’s next general election takes place in 2018, so he would remain in office two more years and presumably continue to pursue his agenda. If he is found guilty, he would likely be impeached and removed from office, like Rouseff was. While we have been encouraged by Temer’s more reform-minded government, in our view this latest scandal doesn’t mean that momentum will necessarily end—even if he’s removed from office. If Temer were to be removed from office, we believe there will still be reforms, although they will likely take longer to implement. The bottom line is that the reform movement against corruption is ongoing, and that is overall positive for Brazil. Even if Temer himself may not be able to carry out the reforms he is now supervising, we think the reformists can move forward since they already have a momentum of their own. There is a realization that reform is needed in many areas, but it often takes time. These developments emphasize the importance of taking a long-term view when investing in emerging markets. Change doesn’t happen overnight. We think there are still plenty of opportunities on an individual-stock level in Brazil, and these types of market shocks can unlock values. We are currently seeing value in almost every sector in Brazil, simply because the market is depressed in all directions. Most interesting to us are the banking and retail sectors. In terms of monetary policy in Brazil, in my view, there is still room for Brazil’s central bank to cut interest rates further. Its currency has seen a recovery from its lows hit on May 18 when the Temer scandal broke. More importantly, there has been a steady downturn in inflation. Brazil’s annual inflation rate stood at 3.77% in mid-May, its lowest level in 10 years.1 In my view, an aggressive cut in interest rates would be very good for the economy. I think it’s about time that Brazil had a reasonable interest-rate environment, particularly for small and medium-sized businesses which could then get financing at lower rates. This could give an overall boost to the economy. We will of course be monitoring the situation in Brazil to determine what type of impact this latest setback has on Brazil’s economy and the businesses operating there. In my view, the setback is temporary; we have seen other markets bounce back from political scandals in the past. The ongoing, longer-term recovery of Brazil’s stock market and economy still looks to us to be intact. Mark Mobius’s comments, opinions and analyses are for informational purposes only and should not be considered individual investment advice or recommendations to invest in any security or to adopt any investment strategy. Because market and economic conditions are subject to rapid change, comments, opinions and analyses are rendered as of the date of the posting and may change without notice. The material is not intended as a complete analysis of every material fact regarding any country, region, market, industry, investment or strategy. Important Legal Information All investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal. Investments in foreign securities involve special risks including currency fluctuations, economic instability and political developments. Investments in emerging markets, of which frontier markets are a subset, involve heightened risks related to the same factors, in addition to those associated with these markets’ smaller size, lesser liquidity and lack of established legal, political, business and social frameworks to support securities markets. Because these frameworks are typically even less developed in frontier markets, as well as various factors including the increased potential for extreme price volatility, illiquidity, trade barriers and exchange controls, the risks associated with emerging markets are magnified in frontier markets. Stock prices fluctuate, sometimes rapidly and dramatically, due to factors affecting individual companies, particular industries or sectors, or general market conditions. _____________________________________ 1. Sources: Reuters, IBGE.
Investment Adventures in Emerging Markets - Notes from Mark Mobius
Mark Mobius, Ph.D., executive chairman of Templeton Emerging Markets Group, joined Templeton in 1987. Currently, he directs the Templeton research team based in 15 global emerging markets offices and manages emerging markets portfolios. As he spans the globe in search of investment opportunities, his “Investment Adventures in Emerging Markets” blog gives readers a taste for what he does, when, where, why and how. Dr. Mobius has written several books, including “Trading with China,” “The Investor’s Guide to Emerging Markets,” “Mobius on Emerging Markets,” “Passport to Profits,” “Equities—An Introduction to the Core Concepts,” “Mutual Funds—An Introduction to the Core Concepts,” ”The Little Book of Emerging Markets,” and “Mark Mobius: An Illustrated Biography."